Scenarios

A curriculum path, not just a list of crises.

Scenarios are grouped by what they teach: basics first, then policy tools, finance, crises, historical cases, and competition.

Choose A Level

Level 0

First Day as President

Learn the four basic indicators: inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and approval.

inflationunemploymentGDP growth
United States1958

Postwar Rebuild

United States, 1958

A recession has bitten into jobs and confidence. Restore demand without overheating the recovery.

Level 1

Basic Economy

See why every policy choice creates trade-offs between jobs, prices, growth, and debt.

government spendingtaxesbudget deficit
United States1983

Harsh Recovery

United States, 1983

Inflation has been broken, but unemployment is stubbornly high and the fiscal stance is strained.

United States1999

Golden Expansion

United States, 1999

A prosperous, high-expectation term. You need discipline to preserve the boom without complacency.

Level 2

Policy Tools

Use fiscal, monetary, and supply-side tools with clearer strategic intent.

fiscal policymonetary policysupply-side reform
Germany2025

Industrial Retool

Germany, 2025

Factories need energy security, investment, and export competitiveness while voters resist another squeeze.

Netherlands2025

Trade Bottleneck

Netherlands, 2025

A dense trade hub faces capacity limits, housing pressure, and coalition bargaining over public investment.

Sweden2025

Krona Squeeze

Sweden, 2025

Currency weakness and household debt collide with a strong welfare model and cautious voters.

Poland2025

Investment Catch-Up

Poland, 2025

Strong catch-up growth needs infrastructure, skills, and inflation discipline as political expectations rise.

Brazil2025

Fiscal Anchor

Brazil, 2025

Growth hopes, social spending, and market credibility all compete for the same fiscal space.

Mexico2025

Nearshoring Test

Mexico, 2025

A manufacturing opportunity is open, but security costs, public investment, and inflation risk crowd the agenda.

India2025

Growth And Inclusion

India, 2025

Rapid growth gives you room to move, but jobs, food prices, and infrastructure gaps decide public patience.

Indonesia2025

Commodity Transition

Indonesia, 2025

Nickel, infrastructure, and household prices test whether a resource boom can become broader development.

South Korea2025

Export Cycle

South Korea, 2025

Semiconductors are rebounding, but household debt and weak consumption leave the mandate exposed.

Australia2025

Cost Of Living

Australia, 2025

Mineral exports help, but mortgage pressure and household prices decide whether the government survives.

New Zealand2025

Rate Hangover

New Zealand, 2025

A small open economy is nursing weak growth, high rates, and fragile household confidence.

China2025

Property Rebalancing

China, 2025

Property weakness, export pressure, and local-government debt force a pivot toward consumption and productivity.

Saudi Arabia2025

Oil Diversification

Saudi Arabia, 2025

Oil revenue funds transformation, but non-oil jobs, price stability, and fiscal discipline must line up.

Vietnam2025

Export Upgrade

Vietnam, 2025

Manufacturing momentum is strong, but the next leap needs skills, infrastructure, and stable prices.

Thailand2025

Tourism Reset

Thailand, 2025

Tourism has returned, but household debt, weak investment, and political fragmentation limit easy wins.

Philippines2025

Inflation And Growth

Philippines, 2025

Fast domestic demand is useful, but food prices and infrastructure gaps keep the mandate under pressure.

Level 3

Finance and Markets

Watch bond yields, currency, stock markets, and banking stress react to policy.

stocksbondsexchange rates
United States2008

Banking Crisis

United States, 2008

Banks issued too many risky loans. Trust is collapsing, defaults are rising, and credit is freezing.

United States2026

Stock Market Crash

Advanced finance case

Equity prices have fallen sharply. Investors are panicking, consumer confidence is sliding, and firms delay investment.

Italy2026

Debt Crisis

Sovereign bond stress

Government debt is high. Investors demand higher yields and the credit rating is under pressure.

Turkey2026

Currency Crisis

Exchange-rate panic

The national currency is falling, imports are more expensive, inflation is rising, and investors are leaving.

Canada2026

Household Debt Crisis

Credit defaults rising

Households borrowed too much during easy-credit years. Defaults are rising and banks are under pressure.

Kazakhstan2026

Inflation And Savings

Purchasing power at risk

Inflation is high and households see their savings lose value. Confidence depends on restoring purchasing power.

United Kingdom2026

Investment Boom And Bubble

Asset prices look unstoppable

Stock and housing prices are rising too fast. Easy credit fuels optimism, but a bubble may be forming.

United States2009

Financial Crisis

United States, 2009

Confidence is shattered, unemployment is elevated, and every policy move changes the shape of the recovery.

United States2026

Iran War Shock

United States, 2026

A fictional U.S.-Iran conflict sends oil prices, shipping risk, defense costs, and public anxiety higher at the same time.

Italy2025

Debt Balancing Act

Italy, 2025

Weak productivity, high debt, and coalition pressure make every stimulus promise expensive.

Japan2025

Wage-Price Turn

Japan, 2025

After years of low inflation, wages, debt, and currency pressure make normalization unusually delicate.

Level 4

Crisis Management

Handle inflation shocks, recessions, debt stress, currency pressure, and banking risk together.

recessiondebt crisiscurrency crisis
United States1974

Stagflation Furnace

United States, 1974

Weak growth and violent inflation force you into brutal trade-offs with almost no easy wins.

United States1980

Inflation Crisis

United States, 1980

Expectations are unanchored and political patience is thin. Crush inflation without losing the public.

Sri Lanka2022

Default Spiral

Sri Lanka, 2022

Shortages, inflation, and external crisis have collided. Restore basic stability before the public gives up entirely.

Canada2025

Housing Squeeze

Canada, 2025

High housing costs and stretched households force you to balance rate relief, investment, and fiscal restraint.

Spain2025

Jobs And Housing

Spain, 2025

A service-led recovery is alive, but youth joblessness and rent pressure keep approval fragile.

Turkey2025

Inflation Anchor

Turkey, 2025

A credibility reset begins under extreme inflation, external pressure, and thin household patience.

Argentina2025

Stabilization Shock

Argentina, 2025

A brutal stabilization attempt must rebuild credibility before social pain overwhelms the mandate.

South Africa2025

Power And Jobs

South Africa, 2025

Power constraints, unemployment, and debt pressure make growth policy urgent and politically risky.

Nigeria2025

FX And Fuel

Nigeria, 2025

Fuel-price reform and currency pressure are hitting households while the government tries to rebuild confidence.

Ghana2025

Debt Repair

Ghana, 2025

Debt restructuring has bought time, but inflation, credibility, and household strain still define the mandate.

Kazakhstan2025

Diversification Drive

Kazakhstan, 2025

Oil income gives room to invest, but inflation, exchange-rate pressure, and diversification decide the long game.

Level 5

Historical Scenarios

Apply what you learned to real and historically inspired cases across countries.

historical contextinstitutionsexternal shocks
United Kingdom1976

IMF Winter

United Kingdom, 1976

Sterling is under pressure, inflation is high, and credibility is thin. Stabilize Britain without crushing jobs.

France1983

Franc Under Fire

France, 1983

The expansion has run into external pressure. Defend stability, competitiveness, and public patience at the same time.

Greece2010

Austerity Memorandum

Greece, 2010

A debt crisis has closed market access. Restore credibility under creditor pressure without breaking jobs, demand, and legitimacy.

Egypt2016

Currency Float

Egypt, 2016

A hard reform year begins with inflation risk, subsidy pressure, and a fragile social contract.

Kenya2011

Price Shock Republic

Kenya, 2011

Food and fuel pressure are testing household resilience. Cool inflation without choking off growth and jobs.

Singapore2001

Trade Slump

Singapore, 2001

An external shock is hammering exports and confidence. Recover competitiveness while protecting jobs in a small open economy.